嘉義科技轉型與全球AI趨勢:產業佈局與經濟預測綜述Chiayi’s Technological Transformation and Global AI Trends: An Overview of Industrial Layout and Economic Forecasts

嘉義科技轉型與全球AI趨勢:產業佈局與經濟預測綜述

Chiayi’s Technological Transformation and Global AI Trends: An Overview of Industrial Layout and Economic Forecasts

嘉義縣長翁章梁宣告進入發展黃金十年,強調嘉科二期與臺積電先進封裝佈局;國發會主委葉俊顯則看好AI長期趨勢,預估臺灣今年經濟成長率有望挑戰12%。

Chiayi County Magistrate Weng Chang-liang has declared a "Golden Decade" of development, highlighting the second phase of the Chiayi Science Park and TSMC's advanced packaging layout. Meanwhile, Minister of the National Development Council (NDC) Yeh Chun-hsien remains optimistic about long-term AI trends, projecting that Taiwan's economic growth rate could challenge 12% this year.

嘉義縣長翁章梁於2026年9月15日赴議會進行施政總報告,正式揭櫫「勇敢轉型,創新嘉義」的施政願景,宣告2025年至2035年為嘉義發展的「黃金十年」。此一政策轉向旨在擺脫過往農業單一經濟結構的限制,透過招商引資,將產業核心聚焦於工業科技與消費性產業,並同步輔導傳統農業進行智慧化升級。

On September 15, 2026, Chiayi County Magistrate Weng Chang-liang delivered a comprehensive administrative report to the county council, officially unveiling the vision of "Brave Transformation, Innovative Chiayi" and declaring the period from 2025 to 2035 as the "Golden Decade" of Chiayi’s development. This policy shift aims to break free from the limitations of the traditional agricultural-based economic structure. By attracting investment, the focus will shift toward industrial technology and consumer industries, while simultaneously assisting traditional agriculture in achieving smart upgrades.

與此同時,臺灣國發會主委葉俊顯於同日針對全球AI趨勢與經濟前景發表看法,強調儘管國際間存在地緣政治緊張與部分科技領袖對AI研發節奏的疑慮,臺灣科技業的訂單動能依然強勁,出口表現持續熱絡,預期今年經濟成長率有望突破主計總處預測的11.05%,甚至挑戰12%的成長目標。

Concurrently, Minister of the National Development Council (NDC) Yeh Chun-hsien shared his views on global AI trends and the economic outlook on the same day. He emphasized that despite geopolitical tensions and concerns from some technology leaders regarding the pace of AI research and development, the order momentum for Taiwan's tech industry remains strong, and export performance continues to be robust. He expects this year's economic growth rate to potentially exceed the 11.05% forecast by the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, and even challenge a growth target of 12%.

在產業具體進展方面,嘉義科學園區(嘉科)的發展已進入實質建置階段。據官方說明,嘉科一期已於2026年6月正式邁入試產階段。針對二期擴建計畫,重點在於配合全球對高算力晶片及先進封裝技術的迫切需求,由臺積電領軍打造先進封裝重鎮,相關基礎建設如汙水處理廠、配水池及複合樓群等工程正同步推進。

Regarding specific industrial progress, the development of the Chiayi Science Park (Chiayi Science Park) has entered the substantive construction phase. According to official statements, the first phase of the park officially entered the trial production stage in June 2026. Regarding the second phase expansion plan, the focus is on meeting the urgent global demand for high-computing chips and advanced packaging technology, with TSMC leading the effort to build a hub for advanced packaging. Related infrastructure projects, such as sewage treatment plants, water distribution reservoirs, and complex building clusters, are being advanced simultaneously.

國發會主委葉俊顯則指出,目前市場對於AI資本支出的擔憂,主要集中在模型開發等軟體層面,短期內雖可能引發市場波動,但AI作為長期產業趨勢的本質並未改變,這也與嘉義縣政府積極佈局硬體製造與科技園區的策略方向形成呼應。

NDC Minister Yeh Chun-hsien pointed out that current market concerns regarding AI capital expenditure are primarily concentrated on software aspects, such as model development. While this may trigger market volatility in the short term, the essence of AI as a long-term industrial trend remains unchanged. This aligns with the Chiayi County Government's strategic direction of actively laying out hardware manufacturing and technology parks.

儘管政策與產業展望樂觀,但各界對於全球環境的變數仍保持謹慎。目前資訊顯示,全球經濟前景仍受到多重因素幹擾,包括中東地區的緊張局勢持續,以及美國科技企業領袖針對AI安全風險所提出的放緩研發呼籲。這些外部因素是否會對臺灣半導體產業鏈的資本支出節奏造成實質影響,仍有待後續觀察。此外,嘉義縣的「黃金十年」轉型計畫,除了科技園區的建設外,尚包含創意觀光行銷與縣民光榮感的重建,這些非科技導向的政策目標能否與科技園區的開發達成預期綜效,亦是觀察重點。

Despite the optimistic policy and industrial outlook, various sectors remain cautious about variables in the global environment. Current information indicates that the global economic outlook is still being disrupted by multiple factors, including ongoing tensions in the Middle East and calls from U.S. tech leaders to slow down R&D due to AI safety risks. Whether these external factors will have a substantive impact on the capital expenditure rhythm of Taiwan's semiconductor supply chain remains to be seen. Furthermore, in addition to the construction of technology parks, Chiayi County's "Golden Decade" transformation plan includes creative tourism marketing and the rebuilding of civic pride. Whether these non-tech-oriented policy goals can achieve the expected synergy with the development of the technology park is also a key point of observation.

對於相關產業與政策的影響而言,嘉義縣的產業結構轉型將直接帶動當地就業形態的改變,從傳統農業轉向高科技製造業,預計將吸引更多高技術人才進駐,並帶動周邊消費性產業的發展。對臺灣整體經濟而言,國發會的樂觀預測係建立在科技大廠訂單暢旺的基礎上,若全球AI供應鏈需求持續擴張,嘉義作為先進封裝重鎮的地位將顯得更加關鍵。然而,相關政策的落實進度仍需克服基礎建設工程的複雜性,以及全球供應鏈波動帶來的潛在風險,不宜將單一年度的經濟成長預測視為長期穩定成長的絕對保證。

Regarding the impact on related industries and policies, the industrial structural transformation of Chiayi County will directly drive changes in local employment patterns, shifting from traditional agriculture to high-tech manufacturing. This is expected to attract more high-tech talent and stimulate the development of surrounding consumer industries. For Taiwan's overall economy, the NDC's optimistic forecast is based on strong orders from major tech firms. If global AI supply chain demand continues to expand, Chiayi's position as a hub for advanced packaging will become even more critical. However, the implementation progress of related policies must still overcome the complexity of infrastructure engineering and the potential risks brought by global supply chain fluctuations; it is not advisable to view a single year's economic growth forecast as an absolute guarantee of long-term stable growth.

在不同觀點與限制方面,目前關於歐亞地區的政經動態,亦存在多元資訊來源。例如,有報導指出俄羅斯正進行「無人機蜂群」測試,顯示無人機技術在軍事與產業應用上的全球競爭態勢;同時,亦有歐亞地區的行政管理與建築供應商資訊,反映出該區域在基礎建設與數位治理上的不同發展維度。對於嘉義縣政府而言,如何將無人機等新興科技產業納入其科技轉型藍圖,並與全球供應連結軌,將是未來政策執行的一大挑戰。

Regarding different perspectives and limitations, there are currently diverse sources of information concerning political and economic dynamics in the Eurasian region. For example, reports indicate that Russia is conducting "drone swarm" tests, highlighting the global competitive landscape of drone technology in military and industrial applications. At the same time, information regarding administrative management and construction suppliers in the Eurasian region reflects different dimensions of development in infrastructure and digital governance. For the Chiayi County Government, how to incorporate emerging technology industries, such as drones, into its technological transformation blueprint and connect with global supply chains will be a major challenge for future policy implementation.

此外,市場對於AI發展放緩的呼籲,反映了科技界對於技術倫理與安全風險的重視,這對於臺灣科技產業在追求高速成長之餘,如何兼顧國際標準與風險控管,提出了新的課題。

Furthermore, the market's call for a slowdown in AI development reflects the tech industry's emphasis on technical ethics and safety risks. This presents a new challenge for Taiwan's tech industry: how to balance international standards and risk management while pursuing high-speed growth.

後續觀察重點將聚焦於以下三個面向:首先,嘉科二期的基礎建設進度是否能如期達成,以及臺積電在當地的具體產能佈局是否受全球半導體景氣迴圈影響;其次,國發會對於經濟成長率的預測,需持續追蹤第四季出口資料與全球科技業資本支出的實際變動情況;最後,嘉義縣政府在推動「黃金十年」計畫時,如何平衡工業科技發展與農業智慧轉型,並有效應對全球地緣政治風險對地方經濟帶來的連鎖反應。這些因素的互動作用,將決定臺灣在未來全球科技版圖中的競爭力與經濟成長韌性。

Subsequent observations will focus on the following three aspects: First, whether the infrastructure progress of the second phase of the Chiayi Science Park can be achieved on schedule, and whether TSMC's specific production capacity layout in the area is affected by the global semiconductor business cycle. Second, the NDC's economic growth forecast requires continuous tracking of fourth-quarter export data and actual changes in global tech industry capital expenditures. Finally, how the Chiayi County Government balances industrial technology development with agricultural smart transformation while promoting the "Golden Decade" plan, and effectively responding to the chain reactions caused by global geopolitical risks on the local economy. The interaction of these factors will determine Taiwan's competitiveness and economic growth resilience in the future global technology landscape.