東亞局勢動盪與社會治安挑戰:從地緣政治到高齡防詐議題Turbulence in East Asia and Challenges to Social Security: From Geopolitics to Anti-Fraud Measures for the Elderly

東亞局勢動盪與社會治安挑戰:從地緣政治到高齡防詐議題

Turbulence in East Asia and Challenges to Social Security: From Geopolitics to Anti-Fraud Measures for the Elderly

近期東亞地區面臨多重挑戰,包含地緣政治緊張、自然災害後的資訊透明度爭議,以及AI技術演進帶來的社會治安隱憂,各國政府正積極應對相關變局。

The East Asian region is currently facing multiple challenges, including geopolitical tensions, controversies over information transparency following natural disasters, and social security concerns arising from the evolution of AI technology. Governments across the region are actively responding to these shifting dynamics.

近期東亞地區局勢發展迅速,涵蓋了地緣政治的安全防衛、國際經貿展會的舉行,以及因自然災害引發的跨國人道與資訊傳播議題。在臺灣方面,國安會秘書長吳釗燮於2026年9月10日公開表示,臺灣面對區域安全挑戰的自我防衛決心從未如此堅定,此番言論係針對美媒《大西洋月刊》近期刊登關於臺灣防衛意志的專題報導所作出的回應。與此同時,中國北京於9月9日至13日舉辦「中國國際服務貿易交易會」(CIFTIS),展示區域經貿交流的持續運作。

Recent developments in East Asia have been rapid, spanning geopolitical security defense, the holding of international economic and trade exhibitions, and transnational humanitarian and information dissemination issues triggered by natural disasters. In Taiwan, Secretary-General of the National Security Council Joseph Wu stated publicly on September 10, 2026, that Taiwan’s determination for self-defense in the face of regional security challenges has never been firmer. This remark was made in response to a recent feature report published by the American magazine The Atlantic regarding Taiwan's will to defend itself. Meanwhile, Beijing, China, hosted the "China International Fair for Trade in Services" (CIFTIS) from September 9 to 13, showcasing the continued operation of regional economic and trade exchanges.

然而,在區域外事務上,韓國因考慮參與荷姆茲海峽的軍事行動,遭伊朗方面警告將面臨嚴重後果,顯示東亞國家在參與全球事務時所面臨的複雜地緣政治壓力。

However, regarding affairs outside the region, South Korea has been warned by Iran of severe consequences for considering participation in military operations in the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the complex geopolitical pressures East Asian nations face when engaging in global affairs.

在區域內部的社會與人道議題上,尼泊爾與西藏邊境近期發生的洪災災難,引起了國際社會的關注。根據《衛報》報導,該災難不僅造成嚴重的人員失蹤與傷亡,更因災區資訊審查與網路封鎖問題,導致受災家屬難以取得失蹤親人的確切訊息,跨國資訊不對稱與人道援助的困境成為國際輿論焦點。與此同時,臺灣社會亦面臨嚴峻的治安挑戰,根據警政署統計資料顯示,2025年7月至2026年6月期間,全國詐騙被害人高達17萬餘人,其中高齡族群受害比例引起地方政府高度重視。

Regarding internal social and humanitarian issues within the region, the recent flood disaster on the border between Nepal and Tibet has drawn international attention. According to a report by The Guardian, the disaster not only caused significant casualties and missing persons, but also led to difficulties for affected families in obtaining accurate information about their missing loved ones due to information censorship and internet blockades in the disaster area. The issues of transnational information asymmetry and the plight of humanitarian aid have become a focus of international public opinion. At the same time, Taiwanese society is facing severe public security challenges; according to statistics from the National Police Agency, there were over 170,000 fraud victims nationwide between July 2025 and June 2026, with the high proportion of elderly victims drawing significant attention from local governments.

高雄市議員林智鴻於9月10日質詢時指出,隨著AI深偽(Deepfake)技術的普及,長者防詐已成為各城市必須優先處理的公共議題。

Kaohsiung City Councilor Lin Chih-hung pointed out during a質詢 (interpellation) on September 10 that with the proliferation of AI Deepfake technology, anti-fraud measures for the elderly have become a public issue that every city must prioritize.

針對上述事件,各來源資訊在細節上存在不同程度的確認與分歧。關於臺灣的防衛立場,吳釗燮的公開表態與美媒的報導構成了互動,但美媒報導的具體論點與吳釗燮的回應細節,仍需參照原始報導以釐清雙方觀點的差異。在伊朗對韓國的警告方面,相關資訊源自路透社的報導,並經由第三方媒體轉載,目前尚無法確認韓國政府是否已做出最終軍事部署決策,僅能確認伊朗方面已發出明確的外交警告。

Regarding the aforementioned events, information from various sources contains varying degrees of confirmation and divergence. Concerning Taiwan's defense stance, Joseph Wu's public statement and the American media report constitute an interaction, but the specific arguments of the report and the details of Wu's response still require reference to the original report to clarify the differences in perspectives. Regarding Iran's warning to South Korea, the relevant information originates from a Reuters report and was reposted by third-party media; it is currently impossible to confirm whether the South Korean government has made a final decision on military deployment, only that Iran has issued a clear diplomatic warning.

此外,尼泊爾與西藏洪災的傷亡資料與失蹤人數,因受到當地媒體審查與資訊封鎖的限制,國際媒體目前僅能透過零星的家屬證詞與官方清單進行比對,確切的傷亡規模仍待進一步核實。

Furthermore, data on casualties and missing persons from the Nepal-Tibet floods remain subject to local media censorship and information blockades. International media can currently only compare sporadic testimonies from families with official lists, and the exact scale of the casualties remains to be verified.

這些事件對東亞地區的影響廣泛且深遠。在政策層面上,臺灣政府強調自我防衛意志,顯示其對區域安全域性勢的高度戒備;而在產業與經貿方面,北京舉辦的CIFTIS則展現了中國在服務貿易領域持續開放的意圖,儘管面臨地緣政治的外部幹擾,區域內的經貿活動仍維持一定的運作節奏。社會治安方面,AI深偽技術的濫用已不僅是單一國家的技術問題,更演變成全球性的公共安全威脅,促使各國地方政府必須加速部署防詐科技與教育宣導,以應對數位時代下的新型犯罪模式。

The impact of these events on the East Asian region is broad and profound. At the policy level, the Taiwan government's emphasis on its will for self-defense demonstrates its high level of vigilance regarding regional security. In terms of industry and trade, the CIFTIS held in Beijing demonstrates China's intention to continue opening up in the service trade sector; despite external geopolitical interference, regional economic and trade activities maintain a certain rhythm of operation. Regarding social security, the abuse of AI Deepfake technology is no longer just a technical issue for a single country, but has evolved into a global public safety threat, prompting local governments to accelerate the deployment of anti-fraud technology and educational outreach to address new patterns of crime in the digital age.

然而,對於這些資訊的解讀應保持審慎,不宜過度簡化。例如,關於伊朗對韓國的軍事威脅,此類國際衝突往往涉及複雜的國際法與戰略博弈,韓國是否會因為外部壓力而改變外交政策,仍取決於其與美國及中東國家的多邊談判結果。同樣地,關於尼泊爾與西藏邊境的洪災報導,雖然反映了資訊封鎖的現狀,但媒體在報導災難時的立場與觀點,亦可能受到地緣政治因素的影響。

However, interpretations of this information should remain cautious and should not be oversimplified. For example, regarding the military threat from Iran toward South Korea, such international conflicts often involve complex international law and strategic maneuvering. Whether South Korea will change its foreign policy due to external pressure still depends on the results of its multilateral negotiations with the United States and Middle Eastern countries. Similarly, while reports on the floods at the Nepal-Tibet border reflect the status quo of information blockades, the stances and perspectives of media outlets reporting on the disaster may also be influenced by geopolitical factors.

此外,高雄市議員提出的AI防詐建議,雖反映了臺灣高齡化社會的迫切需求,但AI技術的防禦與識別本身即存在技術門檻,單靠地方政府的政策部署,能否有效遏止詐騙集團的技術演進,仍有待後續觀察。

Furthermore, while the AI anti-fraud suggestions proposed by the Kaohsiung City Councilor reflect the urgent needs of Taiwan's aging society, there are inherent technical thresholds to the defense and identification of AI technology. Whether policy deployment by local governments alone can effectively curb the technological evolution of fraud syndicates remains to be observed.

後續觀察重點將集中在三個面向:首先是東亞各國在面對地緣政治壓力時,是否會調整其軍事與外交參與的優先順序;其次是國際社會對於資訊封鎖地區的人道救援與資訊公開,是否能透過國際組織施壓獲得改善;最後則是臺灣及其他東亞國家在應對AI犯罪方面的立法進度與技術防禦成效。特別是針對深偽技術的監管,各國政府是否能建立跨國合作機制,以共同防範數位詐騙跨越國界,將是未來數月內各界關注的焦點。

Future observation will focus on three aspects: First, whether East Asian countries will adjust the priority of their military and diplomatic participation when facing geopolitical pressure; second, whether the international community can improve humanitarian aid and information transparency in regions under information blockades through pressure from international organizations; and finally, the progress of legislation and the effectiveness of technical defenses against AI-related crimes in Taiwan and other East Asian countries. In particular, regarding the regulation of Deepfake technology, whether governments can establish cross-border cooperation mechanisms to jointly prevent digital fraud from crossing national borders will be a focus of attention for all sectors in the coming months.