中亞地緣經濟轉型:哈薩克與烏茲別克深化國際合作與教育交流Central Asia’s Geoeconomic Transformation: Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Deepen International Cooperation and Educational Exchange

中亞地緣經濟轉型:哈薩克與烏茲別克深化國際合作與教育交流

Central Asia’s Geoeconomic Transformation: Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Deepen International Cooperation and Educational Exchange

隨全球航運要道受地緣衝突影響,哈薩克與烏茲別克正積極尋求資產配置與貿易融資多元化,並與香港建立緊密的教育與經濟連結,成為中亞區域發展的新焦點。

As global shipping routes are impacted by geopolitical conflicts, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are actively seeking to diversify asset allocation and trade financing, while establishing close educational and economic ties with Hong Kong, becoming a new focal point for regional development in Central Asia.

中亞地區近年在地緣政治與經濟版圖中扮演日益關鍵的角色。隨著紅海及荷姆茲海峽等傳統航運要道屢受地緣衝突衝擊,全球供應鏈面臨嚴峻挑戰,促使區域內國家重新評估物流與貿易路徑。其中,哈薩克與烏茲別克作為中亞經濟發展的領頭羊,正積極推動「新絲綢之路 2.0」構想,並尋求與包括中國、俄羅斯及香港在內的國際夥伴進行更深度的合作,涵蓋基礎建設、金融服務及人才交流等多個領域。

The Central Asian region has played an increasingly critical role in the geopolitical and economic landscape in recent years. As traditional shipping routes such as the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz are repeatedly impacted by geopolitical conflicts, global supply chains face severe challenges, prompting countries in the region to re-evaluate logistics and trade routes. Among them, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, as leaders in Central Asian economic development, are actively promoting the "New Silk Road 2.0" concept and seeking deeper cooperation with international partners, including China, Russia, and Hong Kong, covering areas such as infrastructure, financial services, and talent exchange.

根據多個公開來源的綜合報導,哈薩克與烏茲別克目前正積極推動大規模的機場與旅遊設施建設,試圖藉此提升區域連結性。在金融領域,兩國正尋求資產配置的多元化,並積極探索以人民幣作為貿易結算貨幣的可能性。此外,一項連線中國新疆、哈薩克、俄羅斯並最終通往北冰洋的內陸運輸構想,近期再次進入國際視野,顯示中亞國家正致力於突破傳統地理限制,將自身打造為歐亞大陸間的重要物流樞紐,以應對全球供應鏈的不穩定性。

According to reports synthesized from multiple public sources, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are currently actively promoting large-scale construction of airports and tourism facilities in an attempt to enhance regional connectivity. In the financial sector, the two countries are seeking to diversify asset allocation and are actively exploring the possibility of using the renminbi as a trade settlement currency. In addition, an inland transport concept connecting China's Xinjiang, Kazakhstan, and Russia, eventually leading to the Arctic Ocean, has recently entered the international spotlight again, indicating that Central Asian countries are striving to break through traditional geographical limitations and build themselves into important logistics hubs between Eurasia to cope with the instability of global supply chains.

儘管經濟合作前景看好,但中亞地區仍面臨複雜的地緣政治挑戰。媒體報導指出,俄羅斯總統普丁曾對將阿富汗難民安置於中亞地區表示疑慮,憂心在俄羅斯與中亞盟國間無簽證限制的前提下,武裝分子可能偽裝成難民進入俄境。此外,根據自由歐洲電臺的資訊,已有超過 3,000 名中亞公民加入俄軍參與烏克蘭戰事,此現象反映出區域內國家在參與國際事務時,同時承受著人口流動與區域安全壓力的雙重影響,關於這些跨國參與對區域穩定造成的長期效應,目前仍存在多種解讀。

Despite the promising prospects for economic cooperation, the Central Asian region still faces complex geopolitical challenges. Media reports indicate that Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed concerns about placing Afghan refugees in Central Asia, fearing that militants could disguise themselves as refugees to enter Russia, given the visa-free travel between Russia and its Central Asian allies. Furthermore, according to information from Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, more than 3,000 Central Asian citizens have joined the Russian military to participate in the war in Ukraine. This phenomenon reflects the dual impact of population mobility and regional security pressures that countries in the region face when participating in international affairs; there are currently various interpretations regarding the long-term effects of this transnational participation on regional stability.

在教育與人才交流方面,中亞與香港的互動顯著升溫。根據香港教育資助委員會的資料,赴港入讀資助大學的哈薩克與烏茲別克學生,已從 2017/18 學年的 98 人,激增至 2024/25 學年的 371 人,增幅高達 279%。以香港科技大學為例,來自烏茲別克的入學申請在近期呈現倍數成長。此類教育交流不僅為中亞尖子提供了國際化的學習機會,也為兩地在法律、建築及金融專業服務領域的深度合作奠定了人才基礎,並被視為推動「一帶一路」沿線國家與香港互動的核心引擎。

In terms of education and talent exchange, the interaction between Central Asia and Hong Kong has warmed up significantly. According to data from the Hong Kong University Grants Committee, the number of students from Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan enrolled in government-funded universities in Hong Kong has surged from 98 in the 2017/18 academic year to 371 in the 2024/25 academic year, an increase of 279%. Taking the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology as an example, admission applications from Uzbekistan have seen exponential growth recently. Such educational exchanges not only provide top Central Asian students with international learning opportunities but also lay a talent foundation for deep cooperation between the two places in professional services such as law, architecture, and finance, and are seen as a core engine for promoting interaction between countries along the "Belt and Road" and Hong Kong.

針對上述發展,各界觀點存在顯著差異。支持者認為,哈薩克與烏茲別克的開放政策與基礎建設投資,將為國際投資者提供新的機遇,並有助於區域經濟的現代化與多元化。然而,分析人士亦提醒,中亞國家在平衡中、俄及西方勢力影響時,仍面臨極大的地緣政治限制。此外,雖然教育交流資料亮眼,但這些人才迴流對當地產業的具體貢獻,以及「新絲綢之路」構想在實際執行面上是否會受限於區域衝突與物流成本,仍需謹慎評估,不應過度解讀單一指標的正面影響。

Regarding the aforementioned developments, there are significant differences in perspectives. Supporters believe that the open policies and infrastructure investments of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan will provide new opportunities for international investors and contribute to the modernization and diversification of the regional economy. However, analysts also remind that Central Asian countries still face significant geopolitical constraints in balancing the influence of China, Russia, and Western powers. In addition, although the educational exchange data is impressive, the specific contribution of these returning talents to local industries, and whether the "New Silk Road" concept will be limited by regional conflicts and logistics costs in practical implementation, still need to be carefully evaluated, and the positive impact of a single indicator should not be over-interpreted.

後續觀察重點將聚焦於哈薩克與烏茲別克在「新絲綢之路 2.0」架構下的具體建設進度,特別是跨境物流網路的實際運作效率。此外,中亞國家如何處理與俄羅斯在難民安置及區域安全上的分歧,以及其在人民幣貿易融資上的具體落實程式,將是觀察中亞經濟自主性與地緣政治傾向的關鍵指標。同時,香港與中亞在教育合作後的產業對接成效,也將是衡量此波國際合作是否能轉化為實質經濟動能的重要觀察點。

Subsequent observation will focus on the specific construction progress of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan under the "New Silk Road 2.0" framework, especially the actual operational efficiency of cross-border logistics networks. In addition, how Central Asian countries handle their differences with Russia regarding refugee placement and regional security, as well as the specific implementation procedures for renminbi trade financing, will be key indicators for observing Central Asian economic autonomy and geopolitical leanings. At the same time, the effectiveness of industrial alignment between Hong Kong and Central Asia following educational cooperation will also be an important observation point for measuring whether this wave of international cooperation can be transformed into substantive economic momentum.